Tuesday links: real rate reversion

• abnormalreturns
• January 18th, 2011

Quote of the day

Carl Richards, “Investing is about behavior, not skill.”  (Bucks Blog)

Chart of the day

Check out the volatility in real short-term interest rates of late.  (VisualizingEconomics)

Markets

Signs the market has gotten ahead of itself.  (The Reformed Broker)

The stock market is on quite a tear.  (Crossing Wall Street)

More worries about the state of the Shanghai index.  (Global Macro Monitor, Data Diary)

Historically the stock market can withstand a little bit of inflation.  (Market Hulbert)

$120 oil=trouble for the global economy.  (Pragmatic Capitalism)

The stock market is higher, but what has actually be achieved?  (naked capitalism, Credit Writedowns)

The now high profile muni bond market is an example of reflexivity in action.  (AR Screencast)

Volatility

Why we might see a bump up in volatility this week.  (My Simple Quant)

What kind of volatility regime are we in right now?  (Daily Options Report)

The VIX since 2007.  (VIX and More)

Strategy

Cullen Roche, “The degree to which you are a gambler is ultimately determined by your knowledge of the system and your approach in managing that system. “  (Pragmatic Capitalism)

Barry Ritholtz’s 2010 investing mea culpas.  (Big Picture)

Macro signals can take you only so far.  (Big Picture)

Large cap funds are unloved.  (Morningstar)

On the enduring value of mean reversion.  (Capital Spectator)

Some sample portfolios during ‘a hard time to invest.’  (Aleph Blog)

There is a shift afoot in trading and you might get left behind.  (Hedge->According.ly)

‘Self’ plays a big role in your development as a trader.  (StockTwitsU)

Companies

An Apple (AAPL)-focused linkfest we posted earlier today.  (Abnormal Returns)

What is Bruce Berkowitz up to with St. Joe (JOE)?  (ValuePlays)

Wall Street doesn’t understand how strong a brand Under Armor (UA) has developed.  (The Post Game, Leigh Drogen)

Finance

The Goldman Sachs (GS)-Facebook deal has unleashed an avalanche of questions.  (WSJ, Dealbook, Felix Salmon, naked capitalism, Curious Capitalist, CNBC, Business Insider)

Citigroup (C) is profitable, but disappoints.  (Dealbook, WSJ, Street Sweep, Deal Journal)

Wall Street vs. Silicon Valley:  The Battle for Tech Geeks.  (WSJ also Dealbreaker)

Global

How higher food prices are playing out here and around the world.  (Bloomberg)

Why the world isn’t running out of food.  (Big Picture Agriculture)

Want inflation?  The UK has got it.  (FT, Economist, MarketBeat, Points and Figures)

Why Europe should restructure the peripheral country debts.  (Felix Salmon)

How hard should the US push China on revaluing the renminbi.  (Points and Figures)

On the relationship between recent emerging market currency appreciation and export dependency.  (beyondbrics)

Economy

Hard to get inflation ramped up with capacity utilization still so low.  (EconomPic Data)

The long term, demographic bear case for US real estate prices.  (Money Game)

Errata

Why do people gamble?  (Falkenblog)

Why a home is not a good investment.  (Altucher Confidential)

How much trouble is early foul trouble?  (SSRN also Tradestreaming)

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